Bundesliga 2 Week 7 Fixtures and Bets

Bundesliga 2 Fixtures

This weekends fixtures after a week off due to cup games are;

Date	Time	League	Home		Away
17/09/2021	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg (4)	-	Hansa Rostock (13)
17/09/2021	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Schalke 04 (7)	-	Karlsruhe (8)
18/09/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Sandhausen (16)	-	Heidenheim (10)
18/09/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Fortuna Dusseldorf (12)	-	Regensburg (1)
18/09/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel (15)	-	Hannover (14)
18/09/2021	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Werder Bremen (3)	-	Hamburg (9)
19/09/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Darmstadt (11)	-	Dresden (6)
19/09/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue (18)	-	Paderborn (2)
19/09/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	St Pauli (5)	-	Ingolstadt (17)

 

League Position in brackets.

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System	Result
2021-09-17	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	Hansa Rostock	3.75	Back Draw
2021-09-17	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Schalke 04	Karlsruhe	3.95	Back Draw
2021-09-18	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	Regensburg	3.8	Back Draw
2021-09-19	12:30	Bundesliga 2	St Pauli	Ingolstadt	4.31	Back Draw

Stakes are 1 unit

Initial

Running late again - sorry!.

At the time of writing four fixtures are eligible for selection and they are all Back the Draws.

I will endeavour to update this post if the odds move so the selected games no longer meet my criteria closer to kick off or any other games become eligible for my selection criteria before they kick off. I have listed the full set of fixtures above.

I will update the Table above with the results and the odds that I managed to get matched at. I place my bets with either the Betfair Exchange or Smarkets.

 Betting Systems Current Position

A few more Bundesliga 2 Fixtures this weekend including some Friday night selections

Bundesliga 2 Fixtures

This weekends fixtures are;

Date	Time	League	Home		Away
26/02/2021	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Darmstadt (14)	-	Karlsruhe (5)
26/02/2021	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg (12)	-	Paderborn (10)
27/02/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Bochum (3)	-	Wurzburger Kickers (18)
27/02/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Hannover (7)	-	Greuther Furth (2)
27/02/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel (4)	-	Erzgebirge Aue (9)
28/02/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg (13)	-	Braunschweig (16)
28/02/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Heidenheim (8)	-	Fortuna Dusseldorf (6)
28/02/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Sandhausen (17)	-	Osnabruck (15)
01/03/2021	19:30	Bundesliga 2	St Pauli (11)	-	Hamburg (1)

 

League Position in brackets.

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System	Result
2021-02-26	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Darmstadt	Karlsruhe	2.84	Lay Away	Lost -1.84u
2021-02-26	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Paderborn	2.5	Lay Away	Won 1u
2021-02-27	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Bochum	Wurzburger Kickers	4.2	Back Draw	Lost -1u
2021-02-27	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel	Erzgebirge Aue	4.2	Back Draw	Lost -1u
2021-02-28	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	Braunschweig	3.45	Back Draw	Won 2.45u
2021-02-28	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Heidenheim	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2.94	Lay Away	Won 0.98u

Stakes are 1 unit

Result

A winning weekend up 0.59 of a unit. Both systems made a slight profit.

Initial

There are a lot more fixtures eligible for my Back the Draw and Lay Away systems this weekend.

At the time of writing there are three of each system. Two Lay Aways on Friday night.

I will endeavour to update this post if the odds move so the selected games no longer meet my criteria closer to kick off or any other games become eligible for my selection criteria before they kick off. I have listed the full set of fixtures above.

I will update the Table above with the results and the odds that I managed to get matched at.

 Betting Systems Current Position

This Weekends Bundesliga 2 Fixtures - No Eligible Friday Fixtures

Bundesliga 2 Fixtures

Date	Time	League	Home		Away
08/01/2021	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Karlsruhe (10)	-	Greuther Furth (3)
08/01/2021	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Sandhausen (16)	-	Heidenheim (7)
09/01/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	St Pauli (17)	-	Holstein Kiel (2)
09/01/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg (11)	-	Hamburg (1)
09/01/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Osnabruck (8)	-	Wurzburger Kickers (18)
10/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn (12)	-	Erzgebirge Aue (6)
10/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg (14)	-	Bochum (5)
10/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Darmstadt (13)	-	Hannover (9)
11/01/2021	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Braunschweig (15)	-	Fortuna Dusseldorf (4)

 

League Position in brackets.

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System	Result
2021-01-09	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Osnabruck	Wurzburger Kickers	3.8	Back Draw	Lost -1U
2021-01-10	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	Erzgebirge Aue	4	Back Draw	Lost -1U
2021-01-10	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Bochum	2.52	Lay Away	Void
2021-01-10	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Darmstadt	Hannover	2.78	Lay Away	Lost -1.78U

Stakes are 1 unit

 

Result

 

A losing weekend all bets lost -3.78 Units.

 

Update Sunday 12:00

 

As predicted the Regensburg is Void as the odds no longer meet my selection criteria. However the Darmstadt game has become eligible for a Lay Away.

 

The Osnabruck game was a loss it ended up 3-2 to Wurzburger Kickers I could only get matched at 3.8. I have updated the table above, 

 

Initial

At the time of writing there is slim pickings in this weekends Bundesliga 2 fixtures, only three make the grade, two Back The Draws and one Lay Away. The Regensburg game on Sunday is currently borderline.

I will endeavour to update this post if the odds move so the selected games no longer meet my criteria closer to kick off or any other games become eligible for my selection criteria before they kick off. I have listed the full set of fixtures above.

When I publish the results table I will update with the odds that I managed to get matched at.

 Betting Systems Current Position

First Bundesliga 2 Fixtures of 2021 - Added a Tuesday Fixture

Bundesliga 2 Fixtures

Date	Time	League	Home		Away
02/01/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Bochum (5)	-	Darmstadt (11)
02/01/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Heidenheim (7)	-	Nurnberg (8)
02/01/2021	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Wurzburger Kickers (18)	-	Karlsruhe (14)
03/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel (1)	-	Osnabruck (9)
03/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue (6)	-	Braunschweig (15)
03/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Greuther Furth (3)	-	St Pauli (17)
03/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Hamburg (2)	-	Regensburg (13)
03/01/2021	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Hannover (12)	-	Sandhausen (16)
04/01/2021	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Fortuna Dusseldorf (4)	-	Paderborn (10)

 

League Position in brackets.

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System
2021-01-03	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue	Braunschweig	3.8	Back Draw
2021-01-03	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Greuther Furth	St Pauli	3.95	Back Draw
2021-01-03	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Hamburg	Regensburg	4.25	Back Draw
2021-01-03	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Hannover	Sandhausen	3.87	Back Draw
2021-01-03	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel	Osnabruck	3.87	Back Draw
2021-01-06	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Wurzburger Kickers	St Pauli	2.35	Lay Away

Stakes are 1 unit

 

Update Tuesday 6th December

 

All 4 Back the Draws Lost.  I have added the Wurzburger Kickers game which qualifies as a Lay Away.

Update Sunday 10:30

The odds have moved quite significantly in the Erzgebirge Aue game and it is no longer eligible for a Back the Draw.

Initial

Happy New Year. 

At the time of writing 5 fixtures meet my selection criteria, and hey are all Back the Draws.

I will endeavour to update this post if the odds move so the selected games no longer meet my criteria closer to kick off or any other games become eligible for my selection criteria before they kick off. I have listed the full set of fixtures above.

When I publish the results table I will update with the odds that I managed to get matched at.

 

The last set of fixtures in resulted in 1 win and 1 loss, both were Lay Aways.

 Betting Systems Current Position

A Successful Set of Midweek Bundesliga 2 Fixtures

 Results

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	Rtn	System
2020-12-15	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Greuther Furth	Darmstadt	4.15	0	Back Draw
2020-12-15	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Hamburg	Sandhausen	4.59	-5	Back Draw
2020-12-15	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Heidenheim	Regensburg	3.8	13.72	Back Draw
2020-12-15	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Hannover	Bochum	2.96	4.9	Lay Away
2020-12-16	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	Braunschweig	4.3	16.50	Back Draw
2020-12-16	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Wurzburger Kickers	St Pauli	2.5	0	Lay Away
2020-12-17	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue	Karlsruhe	2.48	0	Lay Away

Stakes are 1 unit, 1 unit = £5

Three fixtures were ineligible by kick off, they are crossed out above, and no other fixtures became eligible. However the majority of  fixtures that were left delivered a positive result, the Hamburg game letting us down. 

The Heidenheim and Hannover games were placed with Betfair and have had 2% commission applied, the Paderborn game with Smarket where I pay 0% commission.

System	League	No. Games	Wins	Losses	No. Units
Lay Away	Bundesliga 2	1	1	0	0.98
Back Draw	Bundesliga 2	3	2	1	6.04
Total		4	3	1	7.02

Over 7 units from 3 winning bets. 

The Betting System Current Position has been updated to reflect these results. I have added a second table to reflect this seasons results.

Bundesliga 2 Fixtures After the International Break

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System
2020-10-17	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Karlsruhe	Sandhausen	3.1	Lay Away
2020-10-18	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	Regensburg	4.02	Back Draw
2020-10-18	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue	Heidenheim	2.79	Lay Away
2020-10-18	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	Hannover	2.36	Lay Away
2020-10-19	19:30	Bundesliga 2	St Pauli	Nurnberg	2.73	Lay Away

Stakes are 1 unit

 

Update 

Unfortunately the Paderborn game no longer meets my selection criteria as the prices have moved.

The St Pauli game on Monday has become eligible however it is borderline.

 

This is the first weekend where I have used my faster method to create the table above, still only Bundesliga 2.  There are only a small number of fixtures which meet my selection criteria and a number are borderline. So there is a strong likelyhood that some of them may drop out closer to kick off.  I will update when I can, lets hope there are no Covid postponements as well.

All 3 eligible Lay Away fixtures are borderline this weekend, the Back The Draw is middle of the range. I will update this post if the odds move so the selected games no longer meet the criteria.

When I publish the results table I will update with the odds that I managed to get matched at.

 Betting Systems Current Position

Bundesliga 2 Fixtures for this Weekend

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System
03/10/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Hannover	Braunschweig	3.9	Back Draw
03/10/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Karlsruhe	2.57	Lay Away
04/10/2020	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Hamburg	Erzgebirge Aue	4.25	Back Draw
04/10/2020	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Wurzburger Kickers	Greuther Furth	2.48	Lay Away

Stakes are 1 unit

 

Update

The Hannover Game is Void as the odds have changed so it no longer meets my selection criteria.

But the Regensburg gam has now become eligible for a Lay Away

 

Sorry I'm late with the Bundesliga 2 Fixtures this weekend. I am working on a way to speed the process up to be abe to post these faster, that will allow me to start posting more leagues as well.

We actually missed a game on Friday which became eligible for a back the draw just before kick off. The Bochum game which of course resulted in a draw.

There are only 3 eligible fixtures this weekend that have met the criteria of either of my Bundesliga 2 Betting systems and that is Two Back The Draws and One Lay Away.I will update this post if the odds move so the selected games no longer meet the criteria.

When I publish the results table I will update with the odds that I managed to get matched at.

 Betting Systems Current Position

Only One Bundesliga 2 Fixture to Bet on this Weekend

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System
21/06/2020	14:30	Bundesliga 2	Sandhausen	Dresden	4.13	Back Draw

Stakes are 1 unit

There is only one fixture this weekend that has met the criteria of either of my Bundesliga 2 Betting systems and that is one Back The Draw. My data provider has started recording data at different times, publishing early etc. due to the number of fixtures and when they are being played, this may be affecting the chosen games, so caution is advised if you are following along. We have certainly gone from Famine to Feast.

The one game based on the data that has been selected features the bottom of the table side Dresde.  Again caution is advised.

When I publish the results table I will update with the odds that I managed to get matched at.

 Betting Systems Current Position

Belated Results

Results

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	Return	System
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Hannover	St Pauli	3.7	-5	Back Draw
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Stuttgart	Sandhause	4.4	-5	Back Draw
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue	Bochum	2.6	-8	Lay Away
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Karlsruhe	2.73	5	Lay Away
18/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel	Dresden	4.4	-5	Back Draw
18/06/2020	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Bielefeld	Darmstadt	3.7	-5	Back Draw

Stakes are 1 unit

The Back The Draw results did not go our way with the 4 bets all losing, so -4 units. It was a mixed bag with the Lay Away, with one win and loss so -0.6 units. The Betting System Current Position
has been updated to reflect these results.

Midweek Bundesliga 2 bets

Bets to Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	System
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Hannover	St Pauli	3.72	Back Draw
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Stuttgart	Sandhause	4.4	Back Draw
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue	Bochum	2.64	Lay Away
17/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Karlsruhe	2.73	Lay Away
18/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel	Dresden	4.1	Back Draw
18/06/2020	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Bielefeld	Darmstadt	3.7	Back Draw

Stakes are 1 unit

There are a number of system bet qualifying fixtures from the Bundesliga 2 this week. There are four Back The Draws and Two Lay Aways spread over Wednesday and Thursday evenings. The odds listed above are listed as a guide, if you can back at a higher price or lay at a lower price then great. When I publish the results table I will update with the odds that I managed to get Matched at.

Lets hope there are a number of draws in the fixtures above as the Back the Draws are almost into negative territory after the weekend.  Betting System Current Position

This weekends Bundesliga 2 Betting System Results

Current Position

League	Current Bank	Current Units	No. bets	No. Wins	No. Losers	Start Date	System
Bundesliga 2	522.00	104.40	15	11	4	16/05/2020	Lay Away
Bundesliga 2	500.25	100.05	8	2	6	31/05/2020	Back Draw

Starting Bank for each system was £500 which equates to 100 units. 1 unit = £5.


Results

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	Return	System
13/06/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Heidenheim	Regensburg	3.8	-5	Back Draw
13/06/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel	Wehen	3.85	-5	Back Draw
13/06/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	Greuther Furth	3.7	-5	Back Draw
14/06/2020	12:30	Bundesliga 2	St Pauli	Erzgebirge Aue	3.57	-5	Back Draw
14/06/2020	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Darmstadt	Hannover	2.75	5	Lay Away

Stakes are 1 unit

A mixed bag of results this weekend, the Back the Draw selections all lost (-4 Units) while the Lay Away won (+1 unit).  I have starting to look at other leagues, which have recently started.

Tomorrow sees another Dynamo catchup game where it is top (Arminia Bielefeld) versus bottom (Dynamo Dresden).  It is going to be interesting to see whether they can escape relegation. Karlsruher who are fourth bottom are only 5 points away, won today.

Potential Profitable Betting Systems - German Bundesliga 2.

Potential Profitable Betting Systems - German Bundesliga 2.

I have taken advantage of the Covid lock down period to have a look at historical Football results data for a number of leagues and I have noticed some potential profitable betting systems. Note this is not a get rich quick scheme, it will be a slow grind to make a profit and some systems will be in negative territory before they show a profit.

As the German leagues have returned first I have started to put two of these systems into practice using 1 unit stakes.

For each system I have a bank of 100 units.  I am using £5 as 1 Unit and my starting bank for each system is £500. I will continue to bet 1 unit stakes of £5 until either my bank is gone or the systems has proved sufficiently profitable to increase my bank by 50% plus.

I recognise I am not going to get rich use £5 stakes however at the time of writing football is being played behind closed doors, these are strange times so I recommend exercising caution.

I have two systems on the German Bundesliga 2. However before I go into bets placed.  I want to briefly highlight how I found these systems. There will be further blog posts which provide more detail and analysis.

Looking at the last 4 years of data for the league. Backing every game and every possible result in the Match result Market (Home win, Draw, Away win) and consequently laying each result (Home win, Draw , Away Win) with a betting exchange and assuming 2% commission has returned the following unit returns.

Has returned the following unit returns

League	Back Home Win	Back Draw	Back Away Win	Lay Home Win	Lay Draw	Lay Away Win
Bundesliga 2	4.27	91.36	-56.71	-17.83	-107.86	39.73

** Data prior to the fixtures 06/06/2020

There are two outcomes which stand out as profitable.
1) Backing the draw in every game played in the last 4 years has returned 91.36 units
2) Laying away in every game played in the last 4 years has returned 39.73 units.

Unsurprisingly my system bets for this league focus on Backing the draw or Laying away.

Note when you Lay a bet on a Betting Exchange you are taking the position a normal Bookmaker would take. The most you can make is your stake minus commission, but you are liable if the bet wins.  I'm sure I will explain this better in a later blog post.

Current Position

League	Current Bank	Current Units	No. bets	No. Wins	No. Losers	Start Date	System
Bundesliga 2	512.00	102.40	13	9	4	16/05/2020	Lay Away
Bundesliga 2	502.75	100.55	4	1	2	31/05/2020	Back Draw

Note at the time of writing there is still one Draw Back game to be played.

Bundesliga 2 Lay Away System

I am not placing a bet on every fixture, I am filtering on certain price points which should hopefully prove more consistently profitable.

I started placing bets on the 16th May 2020 with 1 unit stakes.

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	Return
16/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Bochum	Heidenheim	2.72	5
16/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Erzgebirge Aue	Sandhausen	2.96	5
16/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Karlsruhe	Darmstadt	2.8	5
16/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Holstein Kiel	2.64	5
23/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Osnabruck	Hannover	2.6	-8
26/05/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Nurnberg	2.52	5
26/05/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Wehen	Sandhausen	2.6	-8
27/05/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Bochum	Holstein Kiel	2.56	5
30/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Holstein Kiel	Bielefeld	2.46	-7.3
30/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Karlsruhe	St Pauli	2.92	5
30/05/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Sandhausen	Hannover	2.72	5
05/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Greuther Furth	Sandhausen	2.92	-9.7
06/06/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Regensburg	Darmstadt	2.72	5

Note I am currently paying 0% commission on bets placed with Smarkets

Bundesliga 2 Back Draw System

I am not placing a bet on every fixture, I am filtering on certain price points which should hopefully prove more consistently profitable.

I started placing bets on the 31st May 2020, if I had started at the same time as the Lay Away System I would be showing a higher level of profit.

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Odds	Return
31/05/2020	12:30	Bundesliga 2	Heidenheim	Erzgebirge Aue	3.62	-5
03/06/2020	17:30	Bundesliga 2	Hannover	Dresden	4.1	-5
06/06/2020	12:00	Bundesliga 2	Bielefeld	Nurnberg	3.55	12.75

Note I am currently paying 0% commission on bets placed with Smarkets

Bets To Place

Date	Time	League	Home	Away	Back Odds	Back Stake	Return
08/06/2020	19:30	Bundesliga 2	Hamburg	Holstein Kiel	4.5	5